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If Horses Were Wishes by John Perrott
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Xpressbet | Breeder\'s Cup | Your Way To Play
If Horses Were Wishes by John Perrott
If Horses Were Wishes by John Perrott
Xpressbet | Breeder\'s Cup | Your Way To Play
 

9/29: Belmont ($141k C/O); Santa Anita (6th-12th)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$141k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 Guerriere 3-1: Performed well over softish going in France..
Best Value: #7 Complicit 9-2: Pompa-Brown Blame filly a steady improver..
Next Best: #2 Cool Beans 7-2: Has raised game with move to lawn; Wire threat..
Exotics Use: #6 Warranty 10-1

7th: 77th Vosburgh (G1), 3+, 6f (NYRA Beys P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Imperial Hint tunes up for another BC Sprint try..

Most Likely: #6 Imperial Hint 1-5
Best Value: #3 Forge 20-1
Next Best: #5 Silver Ride 8-1
Exotics Use: #7 Still Krz 15-1

8th: 41st Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Robert Bruce, Channel Maker & Spring Quality are tactical enough to adjust to the tepid pace outlook, while Carrick, 3/3 on less than firm footing, is a wire threat..

Most Likely: #1 Robert Bruce 2-1
Next Best: #8 Channel Maker 9-2
Best Value: #4 Carrick 8-1
Exotics Use: #6 Spring Quality 4-1

9th: 39th Pilgrim (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Engaging group efforting a BC Juvy Turf ticket..

Most Likely: #5 Opry 9-5
Best Value: #8 Social Paranoia 10-1
Next Best: #2 Forty Under 6-1
Exotics Use: #7 Somelikeithotbrown 7-2

10th: 99th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Diversify other-worldly right now and looking for a JCGC repeat (Tonalist, Flat Out, Curlin, Slew o’ Gold, Shuvee, Kelso, et al) here. Is wracking up historic event wins, has worked smashingly out of Whitney and figures to take the race to rivals today..

Most Likely: #6 Diversify 4-5
Next Best: #2 Gronkowski 4-1
Best Value: #4 Patch 20-1
Exotics Use: #8 Thunder Snow 6-1

11th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #5 Chiara Luna 4-1
Next Best: #2 Ferdinanda 9-2
Best Value: #1 Remarqued 12-1
Exotics Use: #4 Lion in Wait 7-2

P6 Grid:

6: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), 4-5-6 (C)
7: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 3 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5 (A), 1-4 (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x1x2 = 24 x $2 = $48

P5 Grid:

7: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-4-6-8 (A), 3-7 (B), 5 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 9-10 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-2-5 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-4-6-8 (A), 3-7 (B), 5 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 9-10 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 2-4-8 (C)
11: 1-2-3-4-5 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x2x1x5 = 40 x .50 = $20

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

No extensive analysis, just a heads up on the debut of #2 Improbable from Baffert and the team that brought you Justify. A $200k KEE yearling, the City Zip chestnut has been eye-popping in preparations for career kickoff. Note too that #3 Comical Ghost-SCR’D, by Ghostzapper out of the great Hystericallady and a half to Lady Montdore (Md’O), also bows for Baffert and has worked evenly with American Pharoah favorite Game Winner. O’Neill/Reddam return $500k #6 Tut here and soccer nut Kaleem Shah offers the Callaghan-trained #7 Stretford End, a $600k F-T Florida Sale 2yo. ‘Stretford End’ is the Western end zone section of Old Trafford, the home pitch of Manchester United..

Most Likely: #2 Improbable 9-5
Best Value: #6 Tut 5-1
Next Best: #1 Grey Magician 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Stretford End 7-2

4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

SPOT PLAY: #8 Omaha Beach (7-2) ~ 2nd timer from Mandella a half to Take Charge Brandi by War Front that got education in debut and should move forward to annex diploma..

6th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Game Winner 6-5
Next Best: #1 Rowayton 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Gunmetal Gray 9-5

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Comma Sister 8-1
Next Best: #9 Tartini 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Icy Street 7-2
Super Add: #4 Noivo 4-1

8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Zusha 6-1
Next Best: #1 Conquest Flatterme 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Moon Kitty 4-1
Super Add: #4 Royal Descendant 4-1

9th: Chandelier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, p3, DD)

Bit more compelling than the boys event with as many as 5 grappling for momentum in to the BC..

Most Likely: #6 Bellafina 9-5
Next Best: #5 Brill 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Del Mar May 5-1

10th: Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Tough to separate the top pair..

Most Likely: #8 Cambodia 9-5
Next Best: #6 Vasilika 8-5
Best Value: #4 Queen Blossom 8-1
Exotics Use: #1 Paved 8-1

11th: Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Sadler & Baffert don’t want Accelerate & West Coast gutting one another today, but it looks hard to avoid an authentic confrontation..

Best Value: #5 West Coast 7-5
Next Best: #6 Accelerate 3-5
Exotics Use: #4 The Lieutenant 10-1
Super Add: #2 Isotherm 15-1

12th: Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Hey Negrita 5-1
Next Best: #10 Miss Bad Behavior 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Spiced Perfection 12-1
Super Add: #6 Pulpit Rider 6-1
Hi-5 Play: #11 True Royalty 8-1

P5 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 9 (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 3 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
11: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 5-10 (A), 3 (B), 1-6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

9: 2-4-5-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
11: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 5-10 (A), 1-3-6-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

Good luck!
Steve

Xpressbet | Breeder\'s Cup | Your Way To Play
If Horses Were Wishes by John Perrott
Xpressbet | Breeder\'s Cup | Your Way To Play
If Horses Were Wishes by John Perrott
If Horses Were Wishes by John Perrott
Xpressbet | Breeder\'s Cup | Your Way To Play