BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: Jockey Club Derby (G3), 3yo, 11f-T (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)
Legend of Time is coming out which leaves a quirky pace scenario. Not confident about any one player..
Best Value: #5 Deterministic 9-2
Next Best: #6 El Rezeen 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Carson’s Run 5-2
Super Add: #2 Dashman 8-1
6th: Belmont Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)
Murderously difficult three-quarters dash with a host of rock solid candidates including several looking to break through at upper echelon like Maya Prince, Mischievous Angel, Senbei and Axthelm..
Best Value: #4 Maya Angel 12-1
Next Best: #7 Determined Kingdom 10-1
Exotics Use: #5 Senbei 5-1
Super Add: #1 Axthelm 6-1
7th: Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (X-C 2yo P5, P6, P3, DD)
Shelving of Senza Parole makes this wide open. Note MDN’s Snowyte & Scottish Lassie exit MSW that produced Quickick who was a solid 2nd to Immersive in yesterday’s Alcibiades..
Most Likely: #1 Snowyte 6-1
Best Value: #5 Scottish Lassie 15-1
Next Best: #3 Pondering 12-1
Exotics Use: #10 Icona Mama 15-1
Future Stars Cross Country P5 Grid:
BAQ 7 (3:17p): 1-3-5 (A), 2-9-10 (B), – (C) ~ Frizette
BAQ 8 (3:49p): 2-10 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Champagne
SA 3 (5:00p): 8 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Oak Leaf
KEE 9 (5:16p): 1-6 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C) ~ Futurity
SA 9 (8:00p): 1-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Pharoah
Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
8th: Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Chancer McPatrick more than backed up flashy debut rally in hair-raising Hopeful and there’s plenty of speed signed on here to help his off the pace effort. Pletcher on the attack with Tip Top Thomas who exits one of Spa’s top rated baby heats and Uncaged who performed with aplomb in wet debut. Vekoma Rides and Executive Order graduated without early leads and offer value. Dallas Stewart and Valene Farms have a unique Louisiana-bred G1 double opportunity with Smoken Wicked here and in the Futurity at KEE with Dapper Moon..
Most Likely: #10 Chancer McPatrick 6-5
Best Value: #6 Vekoma Rides 8-1
Next Best: #2 Tip Top Thomas 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Executive Order 15-1
9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
For multi-race purposes, modest budgets may have to rely on Transactional, because if it’s not him, it could be any of the next 6-7..
Most Likely: #3 Transactional 2-1
Best Value: #11 Addicted to You 15-1
Next Best: #7 Miztertonic 12-1
Exotics Use: #9 Barnstorming 12-1
P5 Grid:
5: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 10 (A), 6 (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-9 in 8th)
P4 Grid:
6: 4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 6-10 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)
10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Material Girl 8-1
Next Best: #3 Off Script 5-2
Best Value: #6 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Endless Vow 10-1
11th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-Outer (DD)
Best Value: #8 Vacation Dance 12-1
Next Best: #1 (POE) Scuttlebuzz 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Yarrow 7-2
Super Add: #4 Russi 6-1
12th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T
Most Likely: #5 Chasing Mo Money 9-2
Next Best: #1 Steadfast Resolve 5-2
Best Value: #10 Bolt d’Plata 12-1
Exotics Use: #9 Hurricane Express 5-1
P6 Grid:
7: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 1-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x3x2 = $72
P5 Grid:
8: 10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-8-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 1-5-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 1x2x2x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
P4 Grid:
9: 3-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-8-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 1-5-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 1x2x2x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Beuys 8-1
Next Best: #7 Rebel Red 5-2
Exotics Use: #10 Desert Duke 6-1
Super Add: #12 Clyde’s Got a Gun 8-1
5th: OC/Cond., 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Macho Music 3-1
Best Value: #2 Eighty West 8-1
Next Best: #5 Sexagenarian 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Ace It 6-1
6th: Woodford (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)
Best Value: #5 No Nay Hudson 5-1
Next Best: #6 Nobals 9-2
Exotics Use: #8 Souper Quest 7-2
Super Add: #11 Gear Jockey 20-1
P5 Grid:
6: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54
7th: TB Club of America (G2), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Zeitlos 4-1
Next Best: #3 Brightwork 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 Clearly Unhinged 3-1
Super Add: #4 Spirit Wind 7-2
8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Chili Flag 6-1
Next Best: #4 Gina Romantica 3-1
Best Value: #5 Walkathon 10-1
Exotics Use: #2 Tarawa 9-2
9th: Breeders Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Ferocious 8-5
Best Value: #6 Filoso 12-1
Next Best: #5 East Avenue 3-1
Exotics Use: #10 Dapper Moon 9-2
10th: Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)
Most Likely: #9 Carl Spackler 2-1
Best Value: #8 Spirit of St Louis 15-1
Next Best: #3 More Than Looks 3-1
Exotics Use: #4 Running Bee 12-1
11th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Hi-5)
Most Likely: #5 Eglise 8-5
Best Value: #2 Nyquist Frequency 15-1
Next Best: #7 It’s My Life 8-1
Exotics Use: #6 Big Salt Lick 30-1
P5 Grid:
7: 6 (A), 3 (B), 1-4 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-8-9 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
11: 2-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (1-4 in 7th)
P4 Grid:
8: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-4-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Let’s get lucky!
Steve
SANTA ANITA
PRE-SCRATCHES
3rd: Oak Leaf (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Non Compliant 2-1
Best Value: #1 Rio Del Sol 20-1
Next Best: #4 Nooni 3-1
Exotics Use: #3 Tenma 5-2
6th: MSW, F&M/3-5yo, 1m-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Interplay 12-1
Next Best: #10 Mizzyaan 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Holly Goquickly 20-1
Super Add: #2 Fire Ban 30-1
P5 Grid:
6: 2-4-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 4x2x3 = 24 x $3 = $72
7th: Chillingworth (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Sweet Azteca 3-5
Next Best: #2 Hope Road 4-1
Best Value: #6 Kirstenbosch 10-1
Exotics Use: #5 One Magic Philly 5-1
8th: Rodeo Dr. (G2), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Lucky Girl 10-1
Next Best: #4 Iscreamuscream 8-5
Exotics Use: #7 Aspen Grove 4-1
Super Add: #3 Be Your Best 12-1
9th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)
Best Value: #3 Citizen Bull 5-2
Next Best: #7 Getaway Car 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 McKinzie Street 9-5
Super Add: #5 Emerald Bay 6-1
10th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)
Best Value: #5 Farley Hall 30-1
Next Best: #4 Kings Road 4-5
Exotics Use: #1 Curvino 5-1
Super Add: #2 Coach Chuck 15-1
P5 Grid:
6: 2-4-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-4-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 4x1x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
P4 Grid:
7: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-4-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 1x4x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Let’s get lucky!
Steve
