PARX ~ PENNSYLVANIA DERBY/COTILLION DAY
PRE-SCRATCHES
6th: Plum Pretty-PA, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Morning Matcha 2-5
Best Value: #1 Pachelbel 15-1
Next Best: #5 Confirmed Star 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Foxy Junior 7-2
7th: OC/N$Y, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Tricky read here with most logical players part of what looks like a hot pace..
Most Likely: #6 Woohoo Jackie Blue 6-1
Best Value: #1 Bella Queen 12-1
Next Best: #11 Striker Has Dial 2-1
Exotics Use: #2 Brzina 7-2
8th: Greenwood Cup (G3), 3+, 12f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #9 Next 1-9
Best Value: #5 Treble Clef 10-1
Next Best: #6 Truculent 5-1
Exotics Use: #1 Magic Michael 9-2
9th: Parx Dirt Mile, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Injunction 6-1
Next Best: #5 Adero 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 Seven’s Eleven 8-1
Super Add: #7 Coastal Mission 5-2
P4 Grid:
6: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-5-6-10-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 1x6x1x3 = $18 x 2 = $36 ($9 for each .50)
10th: Turf Monster (G3), 3+, 5f-T (Mandatory Pay Philly Big 5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Alogon 5-1
Next Best: #4 Jean Valjean 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Souper Quest 5-2
Super Add: #8 Senbei 7-2
11th: Gallant Bob (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
No bona fide stars as of yet, but an interesting set of soph dashers that look to have long term upside in the sprint division..
Best Value: #7 One Sharp Cookie 6-1
Next Best: #1 Bentornato 9-5
Exotics Use: #4 Sunny Breeze 8-1
Super Add: #3 Buccherino 4-1
P4 Grid:
8: 9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 1x3x3x4 = $36 ($18 for .50)
PRX 12th: Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Have maintained all week that Mystic Lake can catch Thorpedo Anna flatfooted here under Smith on the stretch out..
Best Value: #8 Mystic Lake 12-1
Next Best: #6 Thorpedo Anna 4-5
Exotics Use: #5 Sidamara 6-1
Super Add: #3 Tarifa 5-1
PRX 13th: Pennsylvania Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)
This is a curiosity and I won’t profess to know what kind of outcome we’re going to have. There should be a very sharp pace with Seize the Grey & Dragoon Guard vying for the lead, Unmatched Wisdom in close attendance and a host of pressers in proximity. Timeout (10-1) is the right price key being well within range of the favorites, possessing tactical speed and appearing poised for a forward move..
Best Value: #4 TIMEOUT 10-1
Next Best: #8 Unmatched Wisdom 8-1
Exotics Use: #5 Protective 8-1
Super Add: #1 Doc Sullivan 12-1
14th: Parx Sprint, 4+, 6.5f
Best Value: #3 Twisted Ride 5-1
Next Best: #6 Super Chow 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Recruiter 6-1
Super Add: #10 Ninetypercentmaddie 6-1
‘Must Pay’ Philly Big 5 Grid:
10: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-7 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
12: 6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 4-5-8 (A), – (B), 1-2-7-11 (C)
14: 3 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2-7-11 in 13th)
P4 Grid:
11: 1-7 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
12: 6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 1-4-5-8-11 (A), 2-7 (B), – (C)
14: 3-6 (A), – (B), 5-10 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x7x2 = 112 x .50 = $56
All A’s: 2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20 (5-10 in 14th)
Let’s get lucky!
Steve
