CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #3 Vino Frizzante 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Prestwick 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Union Mist 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Vanished 3-1 9th
5th: Open Mind, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Zeitlos 8-5 WON ($4.88)
Best Value: #1 Run for the Hills 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Positano Sunset 5-2 2nd
6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)
At least half this field looks eligible for laurels..
Best Value: #7 Think Big 5-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Star of Wonder 3-1 WON ($6.78)
Exotics Use: #12 Attache 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Harrodsburg 6-1 9th
7th: Locust Grove (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #7 Shotgun Hottie 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Loved 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Free Like a Girl 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Musical Mischief 8-1 WON ($35.64)
8th: Pocahontas (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #13 KIMCHI CAT 9-2 14th
Next Best: #3 La Cara 5-1 WON ($12.72)
Best Value: #10 Lady Kathryn 10-1 13th
Exotics Use: #9 Strong State 5-1 7th
P5 Grid:
4: 3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 7-10-12 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 13 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
P5 Grid:
5: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 7-10-12 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 3-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
$0.50 Pick 4 (2-6/10-1-3) Paid $477.26
9th: TB Society, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #7 Happy Is a Choice 12-1 WON ($30.18)
Next Best: #10 Skelly 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Here Mi Song 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Closethegame Sugar 9-5 7th
10th: Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 1m (DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #5 Owen Almighty 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Sandman 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Jonathon’s Way 9-2 WON ($4.52)
Exotics Use: #4 Authentic Strike 12-1 9th
11th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)
Most Likely: #11 Kinetic Control 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Homer’s Odyssey 9-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Desert Aire 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Tickled Quist 7-2 5th
P5 Grid:
7: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 3-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
11: 2-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
P4 Grid:
8: 3-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 7-10 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
10: 4-5-7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
WOODBINE
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD, Swinger)
Most Likely: #4 Whisper Not 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #5 Breaking Alone 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Onenightstandards 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Elusive Knight 6-1 5th
5th: Natalma (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Swinger)
Most Likely: #1 Annascaul 3-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Mountain Breeze 5-2 8th
Best Value: #7 And One More Time 20-1 WON ($35.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Ready for Candy 12-1 7th
6th: ON Matron (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Swinger)
Ridiculously competitive. Pick and pray..
Most Likely: #8 Fashionably Fab 4-1 WON ($15.80)
Best Value: #3 Rose’s Alibi 15-1 14th
Next Best: #6 Batucada 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #14 Metaphysical 20-1 10th
7th: E. P. Taylor (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (Must Pay .20 P6, P3, DD, Swinger)
Would you think that Moira is only 1-for-5 on WO turf? Her Canadian win last year is the lone tally and she got pace to close into there. She was 3rd in this last year and she’ll need to pass Full Count Felicia and Fev Rover to win today. I don’t think the Euro 3yo’s are that scary either..
Best Value: #4 Full Count Felicia 6-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #3 Fev Rover 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Moira 7-5 2nd
P4 Grid:
4: 2-4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-7-13 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 4x3x2x3 = 72 x each .20 = $14.40 x 3 = $43.20
$0.20 Pick 4 (4/6-7-8-4) Paid $418.35 x 3 = $1,255.05
8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Swinger)
Most Likely: #5 Ron’s Gizmo 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #6 Volcanic 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Loose Wire 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 J P Hellish 2-1 6th
9th: Summer (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Swinger)
Best Value: #14 Winterberry 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 New Century 6-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #9 Al Quadra 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Cairo Caper 8-1 5th
10th: WO Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Swinger)
Most Likely: #5 Filo Di Arianna 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Naval Power 1-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Playmea Tune 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Win for the Money 10-1 WON ($29.30)
P5 Grid:
6: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 9-10-14 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3x3x2x3x4 = 216 x each .20 = $42.20 x 2 = $84.40
$0.20 Pick 5 (8-4-5-10-6) Paid $3,684.11 x 2 = $7,368.22
11th: Vigil (G3), 3+, 6f (DD, Swinger)
Most Likely: #7 Patches O’Houlihan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 I’m A Gambler 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Remuda 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 War Bomber 4-1 3rd
12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (Must Pay Hi-5, Swinger)
Most Likely: #1 South Bend 3-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Souped Up 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Wicked Django 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Cool Kiss 20-1 –
P4 Grid:
9: 9-10-14 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 1-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 3x4x2x3 = 72 x each .20 = $14.40 x 3 = $43.20
