AQUEDUCT
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th: NY-MCLM, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 In a Minute 4-1
Best Value: #5 Seba M 9-2
Next Best: #3 Drinking Solo 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Neptune Beach 5-1
5th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)
$35k C/O starts here and it’s a tricky way to kick off daunting sequence..
Most Likely: #6 Brooklyn Diamonds 3-1
Best Value: #7 Cloud Forest 8-1
Next Best: #5 Mandatory 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Stjames 6-1
6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Rocco Strong 5-1
Best Value: #2 Power Seeker 8-1
Next Best: #3 Overstep 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Ocean’s Reserve 5-1
7th: Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)
As discussed with Dave Grening on ATR, Life Talk not any more accomplished (or faster) than several here. Respect, but don’t fear. Vino Rouge has look of filly that will relish the 9f trip and that’s what you try to look for in Demoiselle/Remsen value candidates. Most of All broke through in off/turf romp last and at 15-1 feels too good to leave off. Shimmering Allure has number power to impact significantly, but has already done a lot of developing..
Most Likely: #5 Vino Rouge 8-1
Best Value: #4 Most of All 15-1
Next Best: #3 Life Talk 8-5
Exotics Use: #7 Shimmering Allure 7-2
P4 Grid:
4: 1-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
6: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-5 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
8th: Go for Wand (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)
Dr B back for Wand title defense, but Butchy’s enigmatic mare wired that edition and hasn’t won since going 6f-7f. Good Sam gets beneficial outside open air box (‘where the air is fresh and clear’) and isn’t favored..
Most Likely: #7 Good Sam 5-2
Best Value: #2 Dr. B 4-1
Next Best: #6 Gerrymander 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Tizzy in the Sky 7-2
9th: Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (DD)
As said to Nick Tammaro Friday, ‘Who can’t win?’ Ultra competitive group lines up with what looks like a square pace and there is no reason to not reach for price players. Klaravich home bred Domestic Product (10-1) broke his MDN at 9f and is 10-1 with Chad value pilot Franco. $250k Al Gold buy Drum Roll Please (10-1) ran into tough cookies en route to diploma last out. Copper Tax (10-1) invades from Maryland for Gary Capuano on a 5 race skein and looks tractable. Where’s Chris (6-1) fastest coming in looking turfy long-term (Twirling Candy o/o LDK mare), but won Nashua when tested for stamina by red hot Dutrow. Mage full brother Dornoch logical candidate for Gargan off 8.5f MDN-breaker. Terrific running of the Remsen that serves as front half of Late Double that could be explosive..
Best Value: #2 Domestic Product 10-1
Next Best: #8 Where’s Chris 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Copper Tax 10-1
Super Add: #5 Drum Roll Please 10-1
10th: Cigar Mile (G2), 3+, 1m
“No stars, just talent” ~ Michael Tolkin, The Player..
Completely inscrutable gathering that pits variety of quality horseflesh from many points on the compass. Latch on to a concept and take your flyer. For me it’s adept Jeff Runco marauding from Charles Town with streaking and versatile Coastal Mission (12-1) who has won 9 of his last 10 and is sure to be ignored. Sharpened for his speed with bullet halves after proving capable three-turning 9 panels in the WVa Breeders Classic, Coastal Mission & Bocachica can set up shop on the rail with or behind the other speed. If no one wants the point, he can take control or be effective rating inside as he did in the Russell Road two back. Beyond this notion, quite a few prices have looks including easy-to-root-for Three Technique..
Best Value: #1 COASTAL MISSION 12-1
Next Best: #7 Three Technique 8-1
Exotics Use: #12 Pipeline 15-1
Super Add: #6 High Oak 20-1
P6 Grid:
5: 6-7 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
6: 6 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
7: 4-5 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
8: 2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-8 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
10: 1 (A), – (B), 7-12 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x2x1 = $96
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x2x1 = $16
Backup (C-A-A-A-A-A): 2x1x2x2x2x1 = $16 (4-5 in 5th)
Backup (A-A-A-A-C-A): 2x1x2x2x2x2 = $16 (5-9 in 9th)
Backup (A-A-A-A-A-C): 2x1x2x2x2x2 = $32 (7-12 in 10th)
P5 Grid:
6: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-5 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
8: 2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 5-9 (B), – (C)
10: 1-7 (A), – (B), 6-10-12 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (6-10-12 in 10th)
P4 Grid:
7: 4-5 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
8: 2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 5-9 (B), – (C)
10: 1-7-12 (A), – (B), 6-10-11 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-A-C): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-10-11 in 10th)
Good luck!
Steve
