11/24: Churchill Downs (8th-12th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Tanya Showers 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Aunt Fannie 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Sweet Gal of Mine 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Route Sixty Six 30-1 10th

9th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Nicely matched group of soph gals. Look for late developers at this time of year..

Most Likely: #6 Corningstone 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 The Alys Look 9-5 WON ($13.28)
Best Value: #7 Secret Statement 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Punchbowl 2-1 3rd

10th: Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Stays on the grass and should be very competitive..

Best Value: #9 Safeen 8-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Heavenly Sunday 7-2 WON ($4.82)
Exotics Use: #3 Neecie Marie 4-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Callie’s Grit 12-1 4th

11th: Clark (G2), 3+, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

This is a really fun race and I’m not taking the short price on First Mission who needs to improve (and improve a fair amount) to win..

Best Value: #1 Straight Arrow 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Gasoline 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Il Miracolo 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Stage Raider 12-1 9th

12th: MSW-R, F&M-3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Devilish nightcap/anchor leg..

Best Value: #3 Animal Fries 6-1 WON ($12.52)
Next Best: #5 Stagflation 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Eyes of Gold 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Imperator Furiosa 4-1 9th

P5 Grid:

8: 3-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
10: 9-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-3-4 (A), 2-9-10 (B), – (C)
12: 3 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-5 in 12th)

P4 Grid:

9: 1-6 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
10: 9-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-3-4 (A), 2-9-10 (B), – (C)
12: 3-5 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-A-C): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-8 in 12th)