11/5: Keeneland ~ Breeders' Cup Saturday | At The Races with Steve Byk

KEENELAND ~ BREEDERS’ CUP SATURDAY

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Arabian Knight 2-1 WON ($3.52)
Best Value: #8 Rocket and Roll 12-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Fashion King 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Dakota Run 12-1 4th

2nd: OC/C, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Messier 4-1 11th/Eased-Bled
Next Best: #2 Nakatomi 9-2 WON ($8.94)
Exotics Use: #5 Gun It 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Endorsed 8-1 2nd

3rd: Breeders’ Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Frank’s Rockette 6-1 11th
Next Best: #8 Goodnight Olive 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Obligatory 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Chain of Love 20-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Wicked Halo 10-1 3rd

4th: Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, .50 Turf P4/4th-6th-8th-10th, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Campanelle 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Golden Pal 2-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Casa Creed 6-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Highfield Princess 7-2 4th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Arrest Me Red 15-1 8th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #16 Oceanic (30-1) 13th

4-6-7-8-10-11 with 4-6-7-8-10-11 with 16 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

$0.50 All Turf P4 Grid:

4: 4-6-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 2-5 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

5th: Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 8f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Cyberknife 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Gunite 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Cody’s Wish 5-2 WON ($6.32)
Exotics Use: #10 Senor Buscador 12-1 8th

Early P5 Grid:

1: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4-6-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 5 Conso (2,4,12/2/8,10/10/6,7,8) Paid $13.07 x 5 = $65.35

Early P4 Grid:

2: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4-6-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

6th: Breeders’ Cup F&M Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Tuesday 8-1 WON ($10.38)
Next Best: #11 In Italian 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Nashwa 5-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Family Way 20-1 10th

7th: Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Jackie’s Warrior 4-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 Kimari 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 American Theorem 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Aloha West 12-1 11th

BC Early P5 Grid:

3: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 6-11 (B), 7 (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 9 (A), 2 (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x3x2 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A’s: 3x2x3x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27
Backups: $13.50 (7 in 4th) + $13.50 (4 in 7th)

BC Early P5 Grid:

4: 4-8 (A), 6-7-11 (B), – (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-9 (A), – (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (4 in 7th)

8th: Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 8f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Regal Glory 6-1 10th
Best Value: #6 Ivar 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Modern Games 7-2 WON ($4.75)
Exotics Use: #14 Domestic Spending 8-1 DNF-Pulled Up
Super Add: #9 Malavath 15-1 5th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #9 Malavath (15-1) 5th

4-5-6-8-11-14 with 4-5-6-8-11-14 with 9 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

9th: Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Nest 9-5 4th
Next Best: #7 Search Results 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Society 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Malathaat 3-1 WON ($7.76)

10th: Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 War Like Goddess 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Rebel’s Romance 3-1 WON ($13.92)
Best Value: #9 Gold Phoenix 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Broome 12-1 6th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #9 Gold Phoenix (20-1) 10th

2-3-4-5-7-11 with 2-3-4-5-7-11 with 9 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

11th: Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Flightline 3-5 WON ($2.88)
Next Best: #1 Taiba 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Hot Rod Charlie 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Olympiad 10-1 2nd

BC Late P5 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
8: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
10: 2-5-9 (A), 3-4-11 (B), 7 (C)
11: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (4 in 7th) + $6 (7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 Conso (6/4,12,16/1/5/4) Paid $6.30 x 3 = $18.90

BC Late P4 Grid:

8: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
10: 2-4-5-9 (A), 3-7-8-11 (B), – (C)
11: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x8x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $9 (4 in 7th) + $6 (7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 Conso (6/4,12,16/1/5/4) Paid $6.30 x 3 = $45.85

12th: Fall Harvest, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Technical Analysis SCR
Next Best: #5 Shantisara 6-5 5th
Best Value: #3 Burning Ambition 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Dalika 7-2 6th

P4 Grid:

9: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
10: 2-3-4-5-9-11 (A), 7-8 (B), – (C)
11: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 3-5-7/SCR (A), – (B), – (C)