SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #7 Mistical Curlin 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Psychic Income 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Knot the One 4-1 6th
Super Add: #5 North Pole 3-1 3rd
2nd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Quick Munny 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Thief of Hearts 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Chloe Rose 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Closing Deals 4-1 7th
3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/12′ (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Robyn and Eli 5-2 9th
Best Value: #8 Saratoga Chrome 8-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Sal’s Dream Girl 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Whatlovelookslike 9-2 WON ($12.80)
4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2 Higher Quality 1-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #4 Eagle in Love 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Cyro 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Red Revolution 8-1 3rd
5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner/9′ (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #8 Shutters 5-1 WON ($14.20)
Next Best: #3 Front Line Dancer 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Kringle 6-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Marinara Sauced 4-1 5th
P5 Grid:
1: 4-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 2-4-7 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
3: 4-8 (A), 1-12 (B), – (C)
4: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x5x4x1x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
P4 Grid:
2: 2-4-7 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
3: 4-8 (A), 1-12 (B), – (C)
4: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A’s: 3x2x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
$0.50 Pick 4 (7/1/2,6/8) Paid $153.25
6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)
Half a million double C/O starts here with pool eligible to reach $3MM. Alcools (5-2) the horse to beat but Chris and Dave (8-1) turns back to one turn with bug Gomez who won with his first ever Spa mount Friday..
Best Value: #3 Chris and Dave 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Alcools 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Double Shot 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Flamingo Hawk 4-1 WON ($8.50)
7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Reinvestment Risk (3-5) a logical lean for P6 players on a budget, but have to acknowledge that enigmatic Baby Yoda could be a Spa-loving type after last year’s 2 wins including 114 Beyer eye-popper over Olympiad. Be aware too that Disco Pharoah appears to be coming back towards terrific early spring efforts, had trouble in last and stands to get a sneaky good inside trip. River Dog and Sibelius are the only pace players..
Most Likely: #5 Reinvestment Risk 3-5 5th
Best Value: #1 Disco Pharoah 10-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Baby Yoda 9-2 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Sibelius 15-1 3rd
ELLIS 9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (X-C P5)
Best Value: #10 Get By 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Rather Be Lucky 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Stella Teresa 7-2 WON ($16.02)
Super Add: #6 Ball Gown 8-1 2nd
Cross Country P5 Grid:
ELP 9: 3-10 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
SAR 8: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
MTH 11: 5-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
SAR 9: 9 (A), – (B), 1-3-4 (C)
SAR 10: 1-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
8th: Diana (G1), F&M-4+, 9f-T/12′ (P4, P3, DD)
In Italian has been sparing ~ and matching strides ~ with Regal Glory in the mornings, which tells you how highly Chad Brown thinks of this steadily improving daughter of Dubawi. Think it’s her day with Rosario getting to make the pace decisions..
Best Value: #6 In Italian 6-1 WON ($18.60)
Next Best: #3 Bleeker Street 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Technical Analysis 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Rougir 3-1 4th
P5 Grid:
4: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-8 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
7: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 1x3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
P4 Grid:
5: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-8 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
7: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
MONMOUTH 11th: Blue Sparkler, 3yo-F, 5f-T
Most Likely: #5 Marissa’s Lady 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Insatiable 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Mac the Pee H Dee 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Delmona 9-2 2nd
9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-Inner/9′ (P3, DD)
If Fort Ticonderoga doesn’t win this, it could be any of the next 5-6 candidates. Tricky spot for ticket builders..
Most Likely: #9 Fort Ticonderoga 2-1 8th
Best Value: #1e NBS Ownership entry 12-1 2nd/7th
Next Best: #3 Forever Souper 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Analogy 10-1 9th
10th: Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (DD)
Beat Byk contest kickoff (entry link) and Firenze Fire sibling Andiamo a Firenze gives off same vibe as highly decorated brother. And speaking of family relations, Team Casse managed to grab 10/2-4-1 ($800k) MG1P Pappacap (Gun Runner) half Boppy O (Bolt d’Oro) as a yearling for Jack Oxley & Breeze Easy. Like Pappacap, won 5f May debut at Gulfstream (63 Beyer) and will try to duplicate that one’s 2nd start stake success (G2 Best Pal)..
Most Likely: #9 Andiamo a Firenze 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Boppy O 15-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Forte 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 I’m Wide Awake 20-1 11th
11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/12′
Most Likely: #4 Diva Ready 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Princess Blakely 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Bella Conchita 5-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Constitutionalrage 20-1 9th
P6 Grid:
6: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 6 (A), – (B), 1-3-4 (C)
9: 9 (A), – (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 1-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-9 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
Base Play (A+B): 2x1x1x1x3x2 = $12
Backups ($78): 2x1x3x1x3x2 = $36 (1-3-4 in 8th); 2x1x1x3x3x2 = $36 (1-3-4 in 9th); 2x1x1x1x3x1 = $6 (6 in 11th)
P5 Grid:
7: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
9: 1-9 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
10: 1-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
Base Play (A+B): 1x4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
P4 Grid:
8: 3-6 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 1-9 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
10: 1-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-9 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
Base Play (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (1-4 in 8th): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12