BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Seanow retains Carmouche and WILL get the lead. There are others interested in the front end, but someone needs to engage them. Fun race with several prices in with real chance including St. Lewis’ War Tocsin who took step forward at 4 before the enforced break..
Most Likely: #6 Binkster 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 War Tocsin 15-1 11th
Next Best: #1 Syndergaard 5-2 12th
Exotics Use: #10 Kosciuszko 15-1 8th
6th: Ft. Marcy (G2), 4+, 9f-Inner (Empire P6, P3, DD)
Empire 6 force out starts here with a somewhat paceless affair. First time NA Flop Shot has shown ability to attend paces and may be a decent number..
Best Value: #4 Flop Shot 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Synchrony 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Instilled Regard 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #2 Gucci Factor 6-1 DNF-Pulled up
7th: Westchester (G3), 4+, 8.5f (X-C P5, P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Payne’s race before the break was terrific and a repeat of that makes him a factor here. Code of Honor kicks off his 4yo campaign and will get a pace to chase. Endorsed Oaklawn win was excellent and you can project a classic Rosario inside/outside rally for him..
Best Value: #4 Payne 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Code of Honor 6-5 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #1 Endorsed 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Monongahela 4-1 7th
8th: Intercontinental (G3), F&M-4+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Feels like a good spot for Newspaperofrecord to relaunch her career. She wouldn’t be the first filly to recapture form after being outstanding at 2 and struggling at 3. See Storm Flag Flying as an example. Paul Pompa’s Regal Glory (5-1) may fly under the radar here..
Most Likely: #5 Newspaperofrecord 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #7 Regal Glory 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Eyeinthesky 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Significant Form 5-2 3rd
CHURCHILL 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 High Crime 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #4 Ace Destroyer 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Ikeisgreat 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 My Man Flintstone 8-1 10th
9th: Carter H. (G1), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Vekoma, Performer SCR’d & Firenze Fire share old school ‘best last race Beyers’ (102’s) that earmark them as the top players. Vekoma’s 4yo debut (7f Sir Shakelton) was stunning at GP and anything in that realm will impact this in a big way. The Marty McGee ‘open air outside box where the air is fresh and clear’ works to his advantage as well and he returns to the site of his MDN win too. Mind Control is 4 for 6 at seven-eighths and rarely misfires. Firenze 4/3-1-0 at less than a mile at BEL. Another step forward from Network Effect makes him a contender..
Most Likely: #10 Mind Control 4-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Vekoma 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #1 Firenze Fire 7-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Network Effect 8-1 2nd
CHURCHILL 10th: Dogwood (G3), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)
Most Likely: #8 Edgeway 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Ain’t No Elmers 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Four Graces 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Magic Dance 7-2 7th
CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:
BEL 7: 1-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
BEL 8: 5 (A), 7 (B), 3-12 (C)
CD 9: 3-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
BEL 9: 10-11 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
CD 10: 4-8 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
$0.50 PICK FIVE (9,10,11/2,4,5/5,11,12,13,14/2,6,9,11/2) Paid $127.50 (A-A-A-A-C) ~ $45
10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)
Best Value: #12 Financialstability 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Tale of the Union 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Quickflash 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 The Last Ace 8-1 12th
11th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T
Best Value: #3 Mr Jaggers 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lonesome Fugitive 5-2 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #10 Red Storm Risen 15-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Voodoo Zip 3-1 2nd
EMPIRE P6 FORCE OUT:
6: 4-5-6
7: 1-4-9
8: 3-5-7-12
9: 1-10-11
10: 4-12
11: 3-6
.20 PLAY: 3x3x4x3x2x2 = 432 x .20 = $86.40
P5 Grid:
7: 4-9 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 3-12 (B), – (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 1 (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-12 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
P4 Grid:
8: 5-7 (A), 3-12 (B), – (C)
9: 1-10-11 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-6-12 (A), – (B), 9 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), 7-10 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
