9/30: Santa Anita ($51k C/O; 5 G1's) | At The Races with Steve Byk

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Instilled Regard 5-2: Behind St. Patrick Day in debut.. 3rd
Best Value: #3 Alternate Rhythm 12-1: Solid and sneaky in first start.. 4th
Next Best: #10 Mourinho 9-2: Baffert firster likely OK.. WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #12 Frenchman Street 4-1 7th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Solid looking group..

Most Likely: #5 Big Buzz 7-2: Full to Big Score moving forward.. 2nd
Best Value: #9 Rockaway 10-1: Botched start in stakes try; Retains Roman.. 9th
Next Best: #8 Pitching 5-1: Proctor/DVD/Glen Hill o/o Indy Groove.. 6th
Exotics Use: #13 Pal High 4-1: Half to Dunkirk by Smart Strike draws in for 2nd start.. 4th
Super Add: #1 Choo Choo 6-1: Dorf tabs Prat for EngChan first turf.. 3rd

5th: 6th Zenyatta (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Disappointed by absence of Stellar Wind and Vale Dori, but upon further inspection, this is a better race than thought at first glance. Top 3 finishers from Tranquility Lake (ShenQueen (SCR’D), Faithfully, Motown Lady) reassemble with added intrigue of Paradise Woods who looks ready to get back to her good race on favorite strip..

Most Likely: #1 Faithfully 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Paradise Woods 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Motown Lady 5-1 3rd

6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$51k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Ritzy A.P. 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Troublewithatee 8-1 WON ($22.20)
Next Best: #8 Kencumin 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Golden Doughnut 12-1 6th

7th: 6th Chandellier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

1-2-4-5 from DMR Deb and Alluring Star make this a terrific two turn coming out party. $850k Alluring Star & $650k Moonshine Memories have the brilliance factor, Piedi Bianchi & Just a Smidge look like they fit the race flow well, but will have to show that they aren’t just closing sprinters. Team Desormeaux’s Dancing Belle is the value player (10-1) with the rail for her off the pace run. Fun group..

Best Value: #2 Alluring Star 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Moonshine Memories 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Piedi Bianchi 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Just a Smidge 7-2 5th

8th: 6th FrontRunner (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair from downstate Futurity (Bolt d’Oro & Zatter) have edge here, but sense Bolt d’Oro regression eligible off heady performance. Interesting player is Texas Wedge from Miller who was eye-catching in debut at start of DMR and has been given 10 weeks to prepare for this. Solomani looks to be a two turn horse and Encumbered returns to dirt after nice mile juants (MDN/STK) on DMR lawn..

Most Likely: #1 Zatter 5-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Texas Wedge 6-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Bolt d’Oro 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Solomani 4-1 2nd

9th: 6th Rodeo Drive (G1), 10f-T (P3, DD)

Goodyearforroses looms tough, especially with Avenge likely to have at least some company on the front end..

Most Likely: #10 Agoodyearforroses 5-2 8th
Next Best: #5 Avenge 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #3 Responsibleforlove 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Decked Out 5-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Kiss Me Now 20-1 9th

.10 SUPER: 5-10 with 3-5-8-9-10 with 3-5-8-9-10 with 3-5-8-9-10 (2x4x3x2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)

10th: 6th Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

Like the Zenyatta, this is a better race than you might expect. Blinkered Donworth and Mubtaahij have potential to add zip to pace established by Midnight Storm and Curlin Rules and pressing presence of Breaking Lucky and Cupid. Win the Space was a terrific 24-1 2nd/layoff 2nd to Melatonin in ’16 Gold Cup and may have a placement in the mix. And note Papaprodromeou stole Eddie D. last night at 22-1..

Most Likely: #6 Mubtaahij 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #8 Cupid 2-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Win the Space 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Breaking Lucky 5-1 5th

11th: 6th Unzip Me, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

This has the makings of a war. Speaking of which, interested in 2 nicely-priced first turf daughters of The Factor (War Front) in Noted and Quoted (6-1) and Queen Laila (8-1). #14-AE Tillie’s Lily (5-1) could be an impact player if drawing in..

Most Likely: #6 Noted and Quoted 6-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Tapped 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Queen Laila 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Storm the Hill 10-1 WON ($16.80)
Hi-5 Play: #11 Miss Southern Miss 5-1 5th

P6 Grid:

6: 6-9 (A), – (B), 3-8-10 (C)
7: 2 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), 7-8 (C)
9: 10 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), – (B), 1-3-5 (C)
11: 6 (A), 4-12 (B), 5-11 (C)