GULFSTREAM
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: MSW, 3yo, 7f P3, DD, Hi-5)
Very nice group including the Rachel Alexandra brother Fayeq back for 2nd start after late-running debut. Meantime ran hard at 50-1+ at demanding debut distance of one mile, bested only by LA Derby player Patch..
Most Likely: #10 Meanwhile 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Time to Travel 8-1 WON ($28.80)
Next Best: #7 Pure Heart 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Fayeq 4-1 5th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Caviar Czar 5-1 2nd
7th: 7th Sir Shackleton, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Modest amount of pace involved here..
Most Likely: #3 Bluegrass Singer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #6 The Truth Or Else 10-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #4 Mr. Jordan 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 French Quarter 3-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Hammers Vision 4-1 2nd
8th: 3rd Sanibel Island, 3yo-F, 1m-T/0′ (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Scheme 9-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Happy Mesa 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Accepting 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Taperge 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Fancy Kitten 15-1 5th
9th: Opt CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/72′ (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #5 Farz 8-1 WON-DH ($7.80)
Next Best: #6 Lukes Alley 2-1 WON-DH ($2.60)
Best Value: #10 Altar Boy 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Barraaq 12-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #2 J R’s Holiday 20-1 9th
10th: 32nd Honey Fox (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T/0′ (P5, P3, DD)
If Linda is better as 4yo than she left as 3yo, she can challenge Celestine. And I’m tired of having odds-on singles get beat in multis of late..
Most Likely: #5 Celestine 3-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #7 Linda 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Dad’s Princess 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Mississippi Delta 8-1 2nd
P4 Grid:
7: 3-6 (A), – (B), 2-4-5 (C)
8: 2-4-5 (A), 6-7-9 (B), – (C)
9: 5–6 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)
10: 5-7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x6x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)
11th: 47th Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Interesting chess match between Nonna Bella and Salty. Former may get away on front end..
Most Likely: #7 Nonna Bella 2-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Salty 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #5 Jordan’s Henny 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Tequilita 5-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Modacious 15-1 5th
12th: 2nd Cutler Bay H., 3yo, 1m-T/72′ (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #8 Dover Cliffs 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Inheritthewind 7-2 6th
Best Value: #3 Shiraz 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Erasmo’s Dream 6-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #7 Sir Sebastian 6-1 5th
13th: 56th Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/0′ (DD, Hi-5)
Reporting Star, who mostly refuses to train, couldn’t have tried harder in the Mac Diarmida and can now slow it down further going 12f. Gets Castellano and with rail runner Designed for War taking off blinkers, may be left alone for too long..
Best Value: #6 Reporting Star 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Taghleeb 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Patterson Cross 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Sadler’s Joy 3-1 WON ($9.40)
Hi-5 Play: #8 Mr Maybe 5-1 8th
14th: 66th Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)
Gunnevara much the horse to beat and it will take a major regression from Fountain effort to open that door. Pace scenario should allow for him to save ground from tricky post and come with his one run. Nine furlong question hangs over the head of several in here including Three Rules, State of Honor, Talk Logistics and Impressive Edge..
Most Likely: #11 Gunnevara 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Always Dreaming 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #1 State of Honor 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Impressive Edge 12-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Talk Logistics 30-1 6th
P5 Grid:
10: 5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 6-7 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-9 (C)
12: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 2-5-8 (B), 1-4-7 (C)
14: 4-11 (A), – (B), 1-2-8-10 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
$0.50 Pick-5 (3,5/3,6/4,8,9/2/4) Paid $77.50
$0.50 Pick-5 (3,5/3,6/4,8,9/2/4) Paid $2.40 (4OF5) x 9 = $21.60
P4 Grid:
11: 6-7 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-9 (C)
12: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 2-5-8 (B), 1-4-7 (C)
14: 4-11 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-10 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)
$0.50 Pick-4 (3,6/4,8,9/2/4) Paid $78.70
FAIR GROUNDS
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 92nd New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)
Deep, competitive edition of this with players exiting the Pegasus Cup (Breaking Lucky, Noble Bird), Maxxam Gold Cup (Iron Fist), Mineshaft (Intl Star, Honorable Duty, Mo Tom, Eagle) and Razorback (Hawaakom). Brendan Walsh may be the sport’s most underrated trainer with his Honorable Duty work a testimony to his talent. Recognizing that the horse wanted dirt and needed to be gelded, he’s turned into a graded stakes winner that’s 8/5-1-0 in his care. 6-1 would be generous..
Best Value: #4 Honorable Duty 6-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #6 Hawaakom 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 International Star 6-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Eagle 6-1 4th
9th: 25th Muniz Memorial H. (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Granny’s Kitten 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Kasaqui 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Oscar Nominated 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Special Ops 15-1 6th
10th: 25th Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Farrell certainly the filly to beat but Vexatious was clumsily handled by Desormeaux in the 3yo debut (v. boys) and looms a danger at decent price..
Best Value: #5 Vexatious 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Farrell 8-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Corporate Queen 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Darla’s Angel 6-1 4th
11th: 104th Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (BG P5, P3, DD)
Guest Suite will float up from his 4-1 ML with Local Hero and Patch receiving ‘now horse’ treatment and today is the day to employ him ask the key in pay slots. Howard has drilled the Quality Road gelding 18f since the Risen Star (including 2 bullets), an indication that he will be fully cranked for today’s assignment. With 15 points already logged, the LeComte winner needs a 3rd or better here to make the Derby gate. Albarado cannot lose ground with him as he did in the Risen Star. Patch is yet another experience-light Pletcher player that looks eligible for success on the Derby Trail. The one-eyed Union Rags colt should get an ideal suck-along trip behind the pace and could be the 2nd Calumet homebred in to make the Derby in 6 days after Hence aced the Sunland Derby Sunday..
Best Value: #6 Guest Suite 4-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Patch 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Girvin 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #3 Local Hero 7-2 3rd
P4 Grid:
8: 4-6 (A), 2-3-9-10 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 6-8-10 (A), – (B), 1-7-9-11 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-2-4 (C)
11: 1-6 (A), 3-8 (B), 2-4-5-7 (C)
Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)
