Must-Pay C/O's for big SAR/DMR finales | At The Races with Steve Byk

It’s been another delightful Spa session and I hope everyone has enjoyed the coverage and had their share of successes.. Big finish appears in store this Labor Day with stakes-dotted carryovers at both Saratoga and Del Mar.

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Gambler’s Ghost 7-5 WON ($2.50)
Next Best: #5 American Creed 6-1 2nd

2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Home of the $800k New York bred ~ #5 Moondance..

Most Likely: #2 Swing and Sway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Strawberry Tequila 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Mini Megan 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Moondance 3-1 8th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Very tricky mixed signal reads with some firsters, second timers and pedigrees..

Best Value: #7 Now in a Drive 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 J.S. Choice 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Data Room 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Majestic Tom 6-1 9th

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Brown assistant/exercise rider Abreu brings back impressive first out winner Woodville..

Most Likely: #5 Woodville 6-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #4 Frostie Anne 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Sing for Beauty 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Sabrina Ballerina 9-2 5th

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Modern Lady 12-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Degrees of Freedom 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Undertherain 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Adirondack Luck 12-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 1 (A), – (B), 3-4-5 (C)
2: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 6-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
5: 1-4-6-10 (A), 3-5-8-11 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x6x1x8 =144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 6-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
5: 1-4-6-10 (A), 3-5-8-11 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1x8 =144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$75k Must-Pay C/O starts here..

Best Value: #7 La Coronel 5-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #9 New Money Honey 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Its Only Fair Late SCR (Gate)
Super Add: #3 Slew of Money 8-1 9th

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Vandalize 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #10 Roman Revival 7-2 WON ($8.50)
Best Value: #8 Saratoga Sight 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Eye Love Michael 5-1 4th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Ugh.. Murderous group. Looks like at least 7 of them ‘can’ win..

Most Likely: #6 Cloontia 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #5 Hurry Up Alan 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Dream Doctor 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiz a Chance 10-1 5th

9th: Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Was interested in Reporting Star (20-1) for the Fourstardave and will try him here today instead. Now with added Geroux goodness. Agood deal of pace appears signed on..

Best Value: #9 Reporting Star 20-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Takeover Target 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Jay Gatsby 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ring Weekend 5-2 WON ($7.90)

10th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Classic Empire 5-2 DNF (Lost rider)
Next Best: #2 Practical Joke 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #3 Runaway Lute 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Bitumen 2-1 4th

11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT

Best Value: #2 Blenheim Palace 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1a Sassy Little Lila 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #11 War Baby 12-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Above the Mark 6-1 7th

P6 Grid:

6: 7-9 (A), 10 (B), 3 (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), 3-9-11 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 2-3-4 (C)
11: 2 (A), – (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x1x1 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x1x1 = 16 x $2 = $32

P4 Grid:

8: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-9-11 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), 3-4-5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-2 (A), – (B), 3-5-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x5x2 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/2,10/2/1) Paid $129.75

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 69th DMR Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$547k Must-Pay C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Straight Fire 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Klimt 2-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Chasing Aces 9-5 DNF (Pulled Up)
Super Add: #4 Vegas Itch 20-15th

6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dark Energy 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Uncork the York 5-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Hollywood Strike 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Defiantly 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #5 Latitude 20-1 7th

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Saint Dermot 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Banze No Oeste 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Knight of Drama 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Brimstoned 8-1 4th

8th: 5th DMR Juvenile Fillies Turf, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 With Honors 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Auntjenn 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Blame It On Alphie 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Noble Dancer 12-1 9th

9th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Big Gray Rocket 9-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #9 Antioch 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Bird Is the Word 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Predict 6-1 7th

10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

$35k Must-Pay Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Best Value: #3 Foray 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Bronzino 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Spitfire 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Candy Cowboy 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Lamaan 15-1 WON ($40.00)

P6 Grid:

5: 2 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
6: 1-4-8 (A), – (B), 2-5-11 (C)
7: 3 (A), 5 (B), 1-4-7-10 (C)
8: 13 (A), 2 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 9-11 (B), 1-4-8 (C)