Very irksome miss in the Aqueduct C/O P5 Friday which returned nearly $1,000, as decision to cut budget from $136 to $96 proved fateful. Initial full approach utilizing complete A-B-C plays included Quibbler as an A in the first leg, but in trying to keep the investment under $100, I crippled a backup ticket that had a successful A-A-A-A-C punch.

This topic gets right back to the conversation I had with Andy Serling Tuesday on ATR where we broached the budget issues on P6’s. When constructing plays in the analysis, I never want to suggest outlandish budgets that will be a stretch for the average player and a $100 cap seemed right and reasonable for this opportunity.

The A-B-C plays did catch the P4 for $235 which covered the multi outlays, but nailing the P5 is the difference in making the day top notch as opposed to the trading of dollars. Finding $10 Singsong and $21 Core Portfolio in the 3rd and 4th provided some incoming as well. Was a fun scenario to attack and I hope everyone did well. Nice assortment of action around the country today..

AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Hills’ Malibu Action was nipped in sharp debut and certainly looms as one to beat, but Kenneally turnback Hot Squad plenty eligible with firsters from Brown and Violette logical upon introduction. Wild Impulse (8-1) from Linda Rice shows steady gains with experience, but needs to make up 3 lengths on the favorite out of last. Iswear I’ll Behave (15-1) was pricey ($120k) for a Gone Astray and appears tuned for bow..

Most Likely: #5 Malibu Action 7-5
Next Best: #9 Hot Squad 3-1
Best Value: #7 Moon Over a Beauty 8-1
Exotics Use: #4 My Man Sam 6-1

7th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Too much pace here, (with 2 adding blinkers), for back half of field not to impact..

Most Likely: #4 Candid Desire 10-1
Next Best: #5 Cort 7-2
Best Value: #3 Mello Groove 30-1
Exotics Use: #7 Thnxtomyuncle 12-1

8th: 110th Queens County, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Tommy Macho 2-1
Best Value: #6 Financial Modeling 6-1
Next Best: #3 Kid Cruz 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Mylute 4-1

9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 2yo-F, 1m-70y

Ugly bunch o’ coconuts..

Most Likely: #9 Corinthian’s Joy 2-1
Next Best: #7 Sheyn Vi Di Levone 5-2
Best Value: #1 Ditch Em 6-1
Exotics Use: #10 Roaring Vixen 8-1

P4 Grid:

6: 5-9 (A), 4-7 (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 4-5 (A), 3 (B), 6-7-9 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
9: 9 (A), 1-7 (B), 3-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x $0.50 = $72

FAIR GROUNDS

PRE-SCRATCHES

8th: 10 Diliberto Mewmorial, 4+, 8.5f-T (Black Gold P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lewis Vale 8-1
Next Best: #7 Lookout 4-1
Best Value: #8 Potomac River 8-1
Exotics Use: #1 Regally Ready 3-1

9th: 51st Tiffany Lass, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Please Explain 9-2
Best Value: #8 Sweet Basil 6-1
Next Best: #9 Cash Control 3-1
Exotics Use: #6 Emmajestic 5-1

10th: 51st Tenacious, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Eagle 4-1
Next Best: #3 Ride On Curlin 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Freestyler 3-1
Super Add: #6 Treasury Bill 5-1

P3 Grid:

8: 4 (A), 7-8 (B), 1 (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 6-9 (B), 5 (C)
10: 2-3 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2 = $24

Good luck!
Steve