Spa returns remain attractive; Another DMR carry!

Despite just one winner in the sequence paying over $10, the SAR double carryover paid a handsome $74k Wednesday. As noted going in, the sheer breadth of the multiples involved in the sequence and superfluous coverage it generates, guaranteed that the payoff would be sizable. After a solid start to the series, the top tabs in the 8th-10th all settled for 2nd’s including Stonetastic who ran stoutly in her 4yo debut but could turn back Unbridled Forever. Hope everyone did OK Wednesday. Action Thursday includes the first G1 of the Steeplechase season and another carryover at DMR.

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: 19th Paddy Smithwick (NSA G1), 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

The heavy heads of the jump set are signed on today in Demonstrative and Divine Fortune, but may be worth taking shot with Parker’s Project (8-1) who has always run well at Saratoga. Eyes are on Hinterland, a Euro import making first U.S. start today..

Most Likely: #2 Demonstrative 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Bob Le Beau 6-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Diplomat 12-1 6th

2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3 DD)

First of 3 mile and an eighth events and everything will hinge for well-match group on how pace unfolds..

Most Likely: #5 Bounty Pink 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 So Good to Go 5-1 3rd-DQ’d from Win
Next Best: #1 Lotsa Noodles 5-2 WON ($5.20)-via DQ
Exotics Use: #6 Rock Show 12-1 5th

3rd: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6.5f (P$< P3, DD)

Same Owner-Trainer-Jockey team that sends Call Me Stoney scored with David Rocks in Wednesday nightcap. Scenario same as class dropper has potential to take field the distance. Proletariat also drops in from NY-MSW and repeat of debut try would be effective here..

Most Likely: #11 Call Me Stoney 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Proletariat 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Sandy Strikes 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Cats Landing Late SCR

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Claiming Victory 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sunrise Kitty 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Ave’s Halo 10-1 WON ($24.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Colonel Juanita 12-1 7th

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Heavy fave Unbridledcharacter SCR’D feels like a trap. No one in this field has ever gone 9f which makes you think we’ll be watching a staggerfest late..

Best Value: #1 Humboldt Street 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Yakov 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sugar Gold 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 What’s Up Big Guy 10-1 7th

6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 11f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Messi 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Montclair 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 St. Albans Boy 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Reflecting 3-1 5th

P5 Grid:

2: 4-5 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
3: 11 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-5 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 1-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3-4-9 (C)
6: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-7 (C)

P4 Grid:

3: 4-7-11 (A), 1-2-5 (B), 8-9-12 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 1-8 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3-4-5-9 (C)
6: 2-4 (A), 1 (B), 7 (C)

7th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fine Instincts 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #12 Lana’s Fortune 12-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Robe 5-1 WON ($14.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Belpiana 15-1 7th

8th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Red Rei Rei 6-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Mom’z Laugh 12-1 WON ($17.40)
Next Best: #6 Grandpa’s Princess 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: 4 Concealedwithakiss 12-1 6th

9th: Quick Call, 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ready for Rye 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #3 The Great War 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Zandar 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Cyclogenesis 4-1 4th

10th: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 9f

Best Value: #8 Jet Streak 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Gursky 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 U.S.S. Boxer 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #9 Big House 15-1 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A),12-13 (B), 6-8-10 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-10 (C)
10: 4-8 (A), 1-5-9 (B), 2 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (13/7/5/1) Paid $652.75

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CA-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Know Plans 3-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Tribalist 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Saticoy 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Kristi’s Copilot 8-1 5th

4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 The Cleaners 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Chasing the Heat 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Not Enough Eddie 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Second Proposal 12-1 WON ($16.80)

5th: MCLM/$62.5k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Love On the Road 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Big Discovery 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Architop 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Nakamoto 5-2 WON ($11.20)

6th: CA-MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Tiz Pleasant 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Briana Jean 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Princess Kendra 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Alizarin Beauty 6-1 WON ($9.20)

7th: OCLM/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Indecise 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 She’s Not Here 10-1 WON ($25.60)
Next Best: #4 Istanford 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Kool Kat 6-1 6th

8th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 1m (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Santiago’s Home 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Miltee 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Jens de Ville 5-2 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #6 Out of Mischief 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Ghost of Navigator 12-1 3rd

$2 Exact 5 (3-5-4-8-6) Paid $3,136.00

P6 Grid:

3: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 4 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), – (B), 3-6-7 (C)
6: 5-8 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
7: 2 (A), – (B), 4-6 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), 4 (C)