CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ CLOSING DAY
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Almost all firsters and murky ones at that..
Best Value: #5 Seal Bay 6-1
Next Best: #9 I Did I Did 9-2
Exotics Use: #8 Alpyland 6-1
Super Add: #2 Exonerate 7-2
5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P4, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #2 Niki Nine Doors 7-2
Best Value: #9 Satin Blue 5-1
Next Best: #11 Foxxy Cleopatra 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Ervadean 15-1
$3 Turf P3 Grid:
5: 2-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 2x4x3 = 24 x $3 = $72
6th: Bashford Manor, 2yo, 6f (.20 Must Pay Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #6 Saul Elliott 4-1
Best Value: #4 Romeo 9-2
Next Best: #1 Spice Runner 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Comport 3-1
7th: Debutante, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #3 Light Won Up 5-1
Next Best: #8 Color Comin’ In 4-1
Best Value: #6 Mine Strike 15-1
Exotics Use: #1 Essential Coffee 3-1
8th: Hanshin Cup, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #4 Saudi Crown 9-5
Best Value: #5 Tumbarumba 10-1
Next Best: #1 Banishing 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Cagliostro 10-1
P5 Grid:
4: 5-9 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
5: 2-9-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-5 in 6th)
P4 Grid:
5: 2-9-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-6 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
9th: Anchorage, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #3 Duvet Day 5-1
Next Best: #7 Pin Up Betty 8-5
Exotics Use: #5 Long Ago 5-1
Super Add: #8 Charlene’s Dream 3-1
10th: Maxfield, 3yo, 7f (DD, Hi-5)
Yikes..
Most Likely: #8 Flood Zone 4-1
Best Value: #6 Smoken Wicked 10-1
Next Best: #10 Verifire 5-1
Exotics Use: #13 Furio 8-1
11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (Must Pay Hi-5)
Best Value: #12 GRAYLEIGH 20-1
Next Best: #5 Good Game 9-2
Exotics Use: #2 Twolatebabydoll 4-1
Super Add: #10 Straight Forward 10-1
Hi-5 Play: #7 Merry Madison 5-1
.20 Must Pay Derby City P6 Grid:
6: 1-4-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5-7-10-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 4x3x1x2x3x5 = 360 x .20 = $72
P5 Grid:
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
10: 6-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 5-12 (A), 2-10 (B), 4-7 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-7 in 11th)
P4 Grid:
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
10: 6-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5-12 (A), 4-7-10 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 1x2x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Let’s get lucky!
Steve
